Treasuries

Financial prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of economic events, market indices, company earnings, interest rate decisions, and other financial metrics.

We offer markets on Fed interest rate decisions, GDP growth rates, inflation readings, stock index levels, company earnings beats/misses, IPO outcomes, and more.

You can trade on whether the Federal Reserve or other central banks will raise, lower, or hold interest rates at upcoming meetings. Prices reflect the market's probability for each outcome.

Yes, we offer markets on whether major indices like the S&P 500, Nasdaq, or Dow Jones will reach certain levels by specific dates.

Earnings markets let you trade on whether companies will beat or miss analyst earnings estimates. These markets are available for major publicly traded companies each quarter.

Financial markets are resolved using official data sources such as Bureau of Labor Statistics releases, Federal Reserve announcements, and official exchange closing prices.

We offer markets on CPI inflation data, unemployment rates, GDP growth, housing starts, consumer confidence, and other major economic indicators.

Some traders use prediction markets to hedge their portfolio exposure. For example, if you're long stocks, you might buy shares in a "recession" market as a hedge.

Economic data releases, central bank commentary, geopolitical events, earnings reports, and market sentiment all drive price movements in financial prediction markets.

Financial markets can be available weeks to months before the event. Fed meeting markets, for example, are typically available well before each scheduled FOMC meeting.

Yes, crypto price predictions are available in our Crypto section with dedicated time horizons and market types. Visit the Crypto page for the full selection.

Minimum trade sizes are generally very small, allowing you to participate with as little as a few cents per share. Check each market for specific minimums.