Politics

Urightmarket is the world's largest prediction market platform where you can trade on the outcomes of real-world events including politics, elections, sports, crypto, finance, and more.

Political prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of elections, policy decisions, and political events. Prices reflect the crowd's real-time probability estimate of each outcome.

For election markets, you buy shares in candidates or outcomes. If your chosen candidate wins, your shares pay out $1 each. The share price reflects the market's probability estimate.

We cover US presidential elections, congressional races, gubernatorial elections, and major international elections. Markets are available months or even years before election day.

Historically, prediction markets have been among the most accurate election forecasting tools, often outperforming polls. They aggregate diverse information from many participants with financial skin in the game.

Yes, we offer markets on legislative outcomes, executive orders, Supreme Court decisions, and regulatory actions. These let you trade on what the government will actually do, not just who wins elections.

Midterm election markets cover the US congressional elections held midway through a presidential term. You can trade on which party will control the House, Senate, and individual races.

While polls inform trader decisions, market prices reflect all available information including polls, fundraising data, endorsements, economic indicators, and local political dynamics.

We offer markets on elections and political events worldwide, including European elections, leadership changes, geopolitical events, and international diplomatic outcomes.

Election markets are resolved when official results are certified. Policy markets are resolved when the relevant decision is officially announced or enacted.

Prediction markets are information tools, not influence tools. Research shows they reflect rather than drive public opinion. They provide valuable real-time probability estimates that help everyone understand electoral dynamics.

Polls, debate performances, endorsements, campaign events, economic data, scandals, and breaking news all cause price movements in political markets.

Position limits may apply to certain markets. Check each market's rules for specific limits on how much you can trade.